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futureofromania

Insight of the Day: 6.6% growth in FMCG household consumption, but stagnant volumes in the first half of year

  • Key Findings: Household spending on fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) in Romania increased by nearly 7% in the first half of 2024 compared to the previous year. However, the volume of goods purchased remained stagnant. Key categories such as bread, oil, frozen foods, and beverages saw significant declines in volume due to reduced purchase frequency.

  • Key Takeaway: Despite higher spending, the actual quantity of goods purchased by households has not increased, indicating that consumers are likely facing higher prices and are adjusting their buying habits accordingly. The trend towards purchasing on promotion and the pressure on household budgets are notable.

  • Trend: The Romanian FMCG market is experiencing a shift towards promotional buying as consumers seek to manage inflationary pressures. There is also a noticeable trend of downtrading, where consumers opt for lower-cost options or reduce purchase frequency in response to budget constraints.

Consumer Motivation

  • What is Driving the Trend:

    • Inflation and Budget Squeeze: Persistent inflation, even if reduced, is causing households to tighten their spending. 40% of households are in a "budget squeeze," limiting their ability to maintain previous levels of consumption.

    • Search for Value: Consumers are increasingly motivated by promotional offers, with promotions now accounting for 23% of FMCG purchases, reflecting a growing trend of value-seeking behavior.

  • Who are the People Referred to:

    • Romanian Households: The article refers to the general population of Romania, particularly those managing household budgets and making purchasing decisions in an inflationary environment.

Description of Consumers

  • Product or Service: The article discusses fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG), including food, beverages, and household items, purchased by Romanian households.

  • Age: The consumers span a broad range of ages, but the focus is on households that are actively managing their budgets in response to economic pressures.

Conclusions

  • Implications for Brands:

    • Retailers and FMCG Brands: Need to focus on offering competitive promotions and value-driven products to meet the needs of budget-conscious consumers.

    • Private Labels vs. National Brands: While private labels still hold a significant market share, national brands that can effectively use promotions may have an advantage in gaining consumer loyalty.

  • Implications for Society:

    • Economic Stress: The ongoing financial pressure on households could lead to changes in consumption patterns, potentially reducing overall economic activity in the retail sector.

    • Consumer Behavior: The trend towards promotional buying and downtrading suggests a shift in consumer behavior towards more cautious and value-oriented spending.

Big Trend Implied

  • Value-Oriented Consumption: The Romanian FMCG market is moving towards a value-oriented consumption model, driven by inflationary pressures and budget constraints. As consumers become more selective in their purchases, retailers and brands will need to adapt by offering more promotions and value-driven products to remain competitive. This trend reflects a broader shift in consumer behavior that could have long-term implications for the retail and FMCG sectors.

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